- Pedigree Trends -

♦ About Dosage Theory
♦ Dosage Versus Genetics
♦ Dosage and National Hunt racing
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INTRODUCTION

Pedigree Trends is an information service that explores the relationship between thoroughbred breeding and the characteristics of specific races.

Pedigree Trends uses dosage pedigree classifications to look for trends in British, Irish and French Group and Listed races. The result is a pedigree race card ranked by dosage index. This card gives a very complete picture of the pedigree influences for the race.

The dosage index refers to 'balance of breeding' so the horse at the top of the card is the animal whose breeding most emphasizes speed; the horse at the bottom is the animal whose breeding most emphasizes stamina. In addition outstanding dosage values are shown in bold, while those values that fall within the trend for the race are underlined. 'Dominant classicity' is shown in italics.

Pedigree Trends race cards are an indispensible aid for any racing enthusiast who seeks to decode the Group and Listed races that take place every year in Britain, Ireland and France on the flat. They provide an unparalleled insight into the breeding influences for these races and are the perfect complement to a good racing paper or form-book. Although the dosage index was not initially conceived for jumps racing, Pedigree Trends also covers races in Britain and Ireland run under National Hunt rules.

Where a horse falls within both pedigree and form trends its name is highlighted automatically. Although these are not exactly 'naps', they make a useful shortlist which often throws up good-priced selections. Not all races produce such a shortlist but of those that do, the winner is highlighted in about one race in three. The automatic shortlist also throws up a good number of forecasts and each-way bets.

Subscriptions are available and I welcome enquiries from interested people.

Picture: Eclipse, George Stubbs (1724-1806)


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© Duncan Johnstone, 30 June 2011

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